TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 7:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the total runs each team might score in an upcoming cricket match between Barbados Royals and St. Lucia Kings. Participants can speculate on whether either team will exceed specified run thresholds. The outcome depends purely on the actual runs scored during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total runs scored by each team in the specified Caribbean Premier League cricket match. If a team's runs exceed the stated threshold (139.5, 164.5, or 189.5), the corresponding market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. Pre-match cancellations result in all markets resolving to fair market price. If play begins but no official result is declared—including via Duckworth-Lewis-Stern (DLS) method—all markets resolve to fair market price, except for those based on already achieved statistics, which resolve on recorded results. For matches shortened and given an official result, winner markets resolve per the official outcome, while statistical markets resolve solely on actual recorded figures without adjustments. Any match delayed beyond 48 hours from its scheduled start time also resolves to fair market price.
Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of expert expectations and crowd-driven sentiment. Analysts may focus on team form, pitch conditions, and player injuries, while traders on Kalshi incorporate these factors plus real-time betting patterns. Sometimes the market prices in sharper shifts than traditional analyses, especially with breaking news or weather updates that affect run-scoring potential.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final run total is determined by official match records, and the market settles based on whether the runs scored meet the over/under threshold defined in the contract. Timing aligns with the completion of the Barbados Royals' innings in the match.
Injuries to key Barbados Royals batters, weather delays affecting match length, and changes to the playing pitch can all shift this market. Updates from team practice sessions, toss decisions, and opponent bowling strategies may also influence trader sentiment. Any news that impacts the likely run-scoring environment — from rain forecasts to pitch wear — could cause rapid price movements on Kalshi as the match approaches.