TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 15, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether the Bank of Korea will raise its base rate at the July monetary policy meeting. On Polymarket, a rate increase is priced at 65.5%, while no change to the rate is priced at 34.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official Bank of Korea policy statement released following the July 16, 2026 meeting, as published on the central bank's official meeting schedule. Watch for the Bank of Korea's announcement on July 16, 2026 for the definitive rate decision.
This market will resolve according to the change in the base rate resulting from the Bank of Korea’s July monetary policy meeting, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Korea after its July 16, 2026 policy-setting meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Korea meeting schedule: https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022 This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Korea's policy statement for their July 16, 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued. If no decision on the base rate is issued by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
The Bank of Korea decision in July market resolves on Jul 16, 2026. Resolution hinges on the official announcement and decision made by the Bank of Korea's monetary policy committee during their July meeting. The outcome is determined by whether the central bank's base rate is decreased compared to the current level at the time of the decision. Market participants should monitor the official Bank of Korea press release and policy statement for clarity on the final rate decision, as this will directly determine whether the 'Yes' or 'No' outcome is correct.
Key catalysts for the Bank of Korea decision in July market include South Korean inflation data, employment reports, and GDP growth figures released before the July meeting. Global economic conditions, Federal Reserve policy signals, and currency movements (especially won-to-dollar rates) can also shift trader expectations about Korean monetary policy. Any official Bank of Korea communications, forward guidance, or speeches by central bank officials may trigger repricing. Additionally, geopolitical developments affecting the Korean peninsula or regional trade dynamics could influence market sentiment about the appropriate policy stance, moving odds on a rate cut up or down.