TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 11:05 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting whether specific players will achieve certain levels of combined performance metrics in an upcoming baseball game. The outcomes depend on the players' statistical contributions, including hits, runs, and RBIs, during their actual playing time in the match.
The official rules establish a series of markets centered around the performance of two players, Gunnar Henderson and Pete Alonso, in a specific baseball game. Each market corresponds to a threshold of total hits, runs, and RBIs (collectively referred to as 'hits + runs + RBIs') that the player must achieve to resolve the market to 'Yes.' The thresholds range from 1+ to 5+ for each player, creating multiple outcome possibilities. A key secondary rule governs player participation and settlement criteria: if either player is scratched, not in the starting lineup, or fails to record a plate appearance, the market resolves to the fair market price. Additionally, if a player enters the game as a substitute but does not start, pinch-hit at-bats are excluded from the calculation. Only when a player is in the starting lineup and records at least one plate appearance will the market settle based on the actual hits, runs, and RBIs they accumulate during the game. These rules ensure that the markets are settled fairly and transparently, reflecting only the players' active contributions when they are officially part of the game's starting lineup and have opportunities to bat.