TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 9, 2:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event involves a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for an early afternoon start. The focus is on whether any scoring occurs during the first inning of play. The outcome depends solely on the early-game action, specifically the runs scored in the initial period.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Baltimore vs Texas professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 9, 2026 at 2:35 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds for this market through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the aggregate belief of participants. The probability displayed represents the collective wisdom of market users rather than an imposed line. Volume of $307,424 and 24-hour volume of $304,983 indicate liquidity and recent interest levels. Price fluctuations occur rapidly in response to new information affecting the likelihood of an early run, making real-time tracking essential for informed decisions.
This market resolves around Aug 9, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on which team scores the first run in the opening inning of the Baltimore versus Texas matchup, as officially recorded in the game’s box score.
Several key signals could shift this market before Aug 9, 2026. Starting pitcher announcements or last-minute changes have a major impact, as do weather forecasts affecting game conditions. Early game momentum, such as a strong batting performance in the first few at-bats, can also cause rapid adjustments. Injuries to key players revealed just before the match may dramatically reshape expectations. Finally, betting volume spikes on Kalshi often precede notable shifts, reflecting large traders reacting to fresh intelligence or analysis.