TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 17, 6:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will score a run in the first inning of the Baltimore vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game scheduled for August 17, 2026. On Kalshi, the current probability for Yes is 48.0%, with resolution based on the game's official results. The outcome will be determined by the events of the first inning on August 17, 2026, with settlement completed by August 18, 2026.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Baltimore vs Tampa Bay professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 17, 2026 at 6:05 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market resolves around Aug 18, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether either team scores in the first inning of the game, and the market will settle automatically based on official game records after the first half-inning concludes.
Key signals that could shift this market include last-minute lineup changes, weather delays or interruptions, pitcher performance updates, and pre-game betting trends. Any announcement affecting the starting pitchers or game conditions may cause rapid price adjustments. Traders will also watch for any in-game developments immediately after the first pitch that suggest a run is likely or unlikely to occur, which can dramatically impact odds in the final hours before resolution.