TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 27, 4:59 PM EST
Kalshi
An upcoming professional baseball game features two teams competing in a scheduled match. The game's outcome will be determined by whether it extends beyond the standard duration into additional periods of play. This extension occurs when the teams are tied at the end of the regular scheduled time.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Baltimore vs St. Louis professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 27, 2026 at 2:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in factors beyond simple team performance, such as weather conditions or player injuries, which can create unique opportunities for arbitrage or insight. The market's probability output provides a real-time gauge of collective trader confidence, while sportsbooks may incorporate additional adjustments for risk management and market balance.
This market resolves around Aug 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on whether the Baltimore vs. St. Louis game lasts long enough to require extra innings, a fact that will be evident from official game records and sports news sources.
Injuries to key players, weather delays, or changes in starting lineups could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant performance trends or updates from team managers leading up to the game may influence odds, as traders adjust their positions based on new information affecting the likelihood of extra innings.