TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 18, 12:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This event allows bettors to wager on individual team run production in the Baltimore vs Seattle game on June 17, 2026. Separate markets track whether Seattle or Baltimore will score above specific run thresholds.
Resolution depends on the final run totals for each team in the Baltimore vs Seattle game originally scheduled for June 17, 2026 at 9:40 PM EDT. Seattle outcomes resolve to Yes if that team scores at least the specified number of runs, with thresholds ranging from 2 runs through 8 runs. Baltimore outcomes similarly resolve to Yes based on that team meeting or exceeding its specified run threshold, also ranging from 2 runs through 8 runs. Each team's performance is evaluated independently.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by traders seeking to profit from accurate forecasts. This market's odds may lead or lag sportsbook lines depending on information flow and trader conviction, making it a useful cross-check for identifying potential value or consensus shifts in how the event is being priced.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set bids and asks in real time. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the marginal trade—the last transaction executed—and moves as new orders arrive and old ones are filled. Traders can enter limit or market orders to position themselves, and the spread between bid and ask widens or tightens based on liquidity and conviction around the team total outcome.
This market resolves around Jun 18, 2026, once the Baltimore vs Seattle game concludes and the final team totals are verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by comparing the combined scoring of both teams against the threshold embedded in the market contract. Traders holding positions in the winning outcome receive their payout, while those on the losing side forfeit their stake.
Key catalysts include injury announcements, roster changes, weather forecasts, and betting line movements at major sportsbooks. Shifts in team momentum, recent offensive or defensive performance, and public injury updates can all trigger repricing. Additionally, sharp money flowing into one side, media narratives around pace of play, and late-breaking coaching decisions may accelerate price movement as the game approaches, reflecting new information that traders believe affects the likelihood of hitting the team total threshold.