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406,422
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Closed: Sep 25, 6:56 PM EST
Kalshi
Baltimore and New York Y will face off in a professional baseball game on September 26, 2026. Should the score be level after the usual nine innings, the contest will continue into extra innings until one team secures a lead at the end of an inning. The resolution hinges on whether this extended play occurs.
If at least 1 extra inning is played in the Baltimore vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 26, 2026 at 7:15 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and need to account for a profit margin, while this market is driven by traders directly expressing their beliefs about the probability of extra innings. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply a different assessment of the teams involved. It’s common to see prediction markets move more quickly to incorporate new information than sportsbooks, potentially offering a more accurate real-time assessment of the game’s likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of extra innings. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can place limit orders or market orders to participate, and the price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay to own a contract that pays out if extra innings occur, and conversely, what they’re willing to accept for selling one.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the game between Baltimore and New York goes into extra innings, as determined by official MLB game data. The final result will be based on the official game score and whether extra innings were played to determine a winner. The platform will verify the outcome against reliable sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding starting pitchers, potential weather conditions affecting the game, or significant injuries to key players could all shift trader sentiment. Changes in public perception, driven by expert analysis or updated forecasts, can also play a role. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or playing conditions could lead to adjustments in the market price as traders react to the latest information and re-evaluate the probability of extra innings being played.