TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional baseball game between two teams scheduled for a specific date and time. It tracks who wins the contest, with special provisions for scheduling changes. The market remains active if the game is postponed briefly but resolves fairly if rescheduled far into the future or canceled entirely.
If Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 at 3:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If New York Y wins the Baltimore vs New York Y professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 at 3:20 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. This can lead to divergences, especially as new information becomes available or public sentiment shifts. It's common to see prediction markets react more quickly to breaking news or changes in team dynamics than sportsbooks, offering a potentially more dynamic and informed assessment of the game’s likely result.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading activity provide insights into the strength of conviction behind each prediction, allowing you to gauge the level of confidence in various scenarios for the Baltimore vs New York game.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result of the Baltimore vs New York game, as reported by official sources, will determine the winning contract. Traders who held contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will receive a payout, while those who bet on other outcomes will forfeit their stake. The resolution process is designed to be objective and transparent, ensuring a fair outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding key player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or even unexpected weather conditions could shift trader sentiment and cause price fluctuations. Major announcements about team lineups or performance metrics released in the days leading up to the game are also likely to have an impact. Public perception, influenced by media coverage and expert analysis, can also play a role in driving trading activity and altering the probabilities reflected in this market.