TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Baltimore vs New York M
predict
kalshi

Who will win Baltimore vs New York M?

Volume:
$6,897,124

Baltimore

 - Kalshi

Baltimore - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 10:40 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Baltimore

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,593,155
N/A
N/A
$1,430,137
Settled
Yes
predict

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

View
99%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$33,570
$39,039
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

New York M

View
0%
55%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,264,930
N/A
N/A
$1,492,638
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the upcoming Major League Baseball game between the Baltimore Orioles and the New York Mets. Currently, the consensus probability of a Baltimore Orioles victory, as aggregated from Predict and Kalshi, is 99.0%. Resolution will be based on the official final statistics of the game as recognized by the governing body or event organizers, with a fallback to credible reporting if necessary. Keep an eye on September 15th at 7:10PM ET, as the result of this game will determine the market’s outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: The Kalshi market is scheduled for September 15, 2026, while the Predict market is for September 15, 2024. This represents a significant date discrepancy.Hero tip: Double-check the game date before trading. The markets are for different years, potentially leading to incorrect predictions.

Critical divergence points:

  • predict: Resolves to Baltimore if they win, New York if they win, 50/50 if canceled or tied. Uses official statistics or credible reporting. 'In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets, scheduled for September 15 at 7:10PM ET...'
  • kalshi: Resolves to 'Yes' if Baltimore wins the game originally scheduled for September 15, 2026, at 7:10 PM EDT, or if New York wins. 'If Baltimore wins the Baltimore vs New York M professional baseball game originally scheduled for Sep 15, 2026 at 7:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the respective team if they win the professionally scheduled baseball game on September 15, 2026, at 7:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market stays open and closes after the rescheduled game finishes, provided it occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets, scheduled for September 15 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi and Predict, this dashboard tracks the probability of different outcomes for the Baltimore vs New York game. Currently, the aggregated volume across both platforms is $6,897,124, with $5,316,124 traded in the last 24 hours. This allows for a consensus view of predictions, though individual platform prices can vary. The dashboard displays the implied probabilities based on current trading activity, offering a real-time assessment of where the crowd believes the game is headed. It’s a useful tool for understanding market sentiment and potential trading opportunities related to this matchup.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Kalshi and Predict, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind them. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets are driven by the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome. This market’s odds reflect the aggregated beliefs of participants, potentially offering a more accurate assessment, especially as more information becomes available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers and have different limitations on bet sizes, affecting the comparison.