TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 3:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Baltimore will win the upcoming football game against Minnesota by more than 9.5 points. On Kalshi, the current probability that Baltimore wins by over 9.5 points stands at 99.0%. The resolution source is the official result of the Baltimore vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for August 22, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the end of the game on that date.
The markets resolve based on the point differential of the Baltimore vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for August 22, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific point threshold, with outcomes determined by whether the winning team exceeds that threshold. If Minnesota wins by more than the specified points, the respective 'Minnesota wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Baltimore wins by more than the specified points, the corresponding 'Baltimore wins by over X points' market resolves to Yes. All markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook lines, prediction market odds in this market reflect crowd-sourced expectations rather than set benchmarks. While sportsbooks may incorporate sharper lines and adjustments, the prediction market price captures the aggregated view of active traders, often showing tighter spreads or different favorites based on real-time sentiment and volume of $864,501.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders directly set the price through their bids and offers, creating a dynamic market driven by participation and volume of $864,501. The current implied chance reflects the collective assessment of participants about which team will cover the spread, adjusted continuously as new information and bets enter the market.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread recorded at the end of the game determines the result, reflecting which team performed better relative to pre-set expectations. No additional interpretation or external data sources are required beyond official game results.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, and evolving weather conditions could shift this market as the game approaches. Strong pre-game polls, analyst commentary, and betting trends on Kalshi also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute roster updates or venue changes may cause rapid price adjustments, so monitoring news feeds and line movements is essential for tracking this market.