TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 12, 2:09 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves a professional baseball game scheduled to take place between two teams. The focus is on whether any scoring occurs during the first inning of the game. The outcome depends solely on the early offensive performance of the teams in the initial stage of play.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Baltimore vs Minnesota professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 12, 2026 at 1:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders set prices through open order books and continuous trading. The current top outcome reflects the aggregate wisdom of participants betting on which team will score first-inning runs, with liquidity indicated by volume of $543,537. Unlike fixed sportsbook lines, this market price can shift rapidly as new information emerges right up until first pitch, capturing real-time sentiment from engaged traders.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends entirely on whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, a fact that becomes official once the inning concludes and is reported across major sports news outlets and league databases.
Key signals include starting pitcher announcements, weather delays, or last-minute lineup changes that could affect offensive strength. Injuries to key hitters or pitchers, as well as any pre-game betting trends on Kalshi, may also shift expectations. Additionally, broader mood shifts among traders based on recent team performance or stadium factors could create volatility, especially as the first pitch approaches.