TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 3:16 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets focus on predicting the margin of victory for either Baltimore or Minnesota specifically within the third quarter of their scheduled football game. Each market corresponds to a different point differential threshold that must be exceeded for the outcome to be considered valid.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the third quarter of the Baltimore vs Minnesota Pro Football game scheduled for August 22, 2026. Each market has a specific point differential threshold that determines whether it resolves as 'Yes.' For markets where Minnesota is the favorite, 'Yes' is triggered if Minnesota wins the third quarter by more than the specified margin (ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). Conversely, for markets where Baltimore is the favorite, 'Yes' occurs if Baltimore wins the third quarter by more than the designated margin (also ranging from 2.5 to 10.5 points). If the actual point differential in the third quarter exactly matches or is less than the threshold, the market resolves as 'No.' All markets are independent, and only points scored during the third quarter count toward resolution.
On Kalshi, the 3rd quarter spread market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks may set spreads based on historical performance and analyst predictions, this market prices in real-time based on crowd wisdom. Traders can react instantly to new data, such as player injuries or weather conditions, which might not be fully reflected in sportsbook odds for some time. This difference often leads to unique pricing dynamics where this market may diverge from conventional betting lines.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the third quarter will determine whether Minnesota covers the spread against Baltimore, closing the market based on official game results.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 22, 2026. Key player injuries or lineup announcements may dramatically alter expectations for the third quarter. Weather updates affecting game conditions could also influence pricing. Additionally, strong performances in earlier quarters might set momentum that traders anticipate continuing. Any major coaching decisions or strategic shifts reported in the media can reshape market sentiment, causing rapid price adjustments as new information emerges.