TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 1:46 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the total points scored by both Baltimore and Minnesota in the first quarter of their upcoming football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to assess varying levels of scoring intensity expected in the opening quarter.
These markets evaluate whether the combined points scored by Baltimore and Minnesota during the first quarter of their Pro Football game scheduled for August 22, 2026, will exceed specified thresholds ranging from 3.5 to 24.5 points. All outcomes are determined solely by the points accumulated in the first quarter of play, with no consideration given to scoring in subsequent quarters. Each market has a unique threshold, and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if the total points scored in the first quarter surpass that threshold. The markets are independent, meaning each threshold is evaluated separately, allowing for varied predictions of scoring volume at different levels within the same game context.
On Kalshi, traders in the 1st quarter total market price the likelihood of total points scored based on their expectations of team performance, game pace, and other factors. Sportsbook odds, set by professional oddsmakers, often incorporate additional statistical models and historical data. While both reflect expected outcomes, prediction market odds may shift more rapidly with new information, reflecting crowd sentiment, whereas sportsbook lines are typically more stable and adjusted for broader betting patterns and risk management strategies.
This market resolves around Aug 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score of the first quarter will determine whether the total points fall above or below the market line, closing the market definitively after the game’s opening quarter concludes.
Several factors could influence this market before Aug 22, 2026. Key performances by star players, injury updates, changes in coaching strategy, and even weather conditions on game day may shift expectations for scoring pace. Additionally, market sentiment can react to pre-game media narratives, betting trends, and any last-minute roster changes. As the start time approaches, real-time analytics and live betting data may also cause fluctuations in trader sentiment and pricing.