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2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
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PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
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VS.
Kalshi:
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Closed: Jun 21, 12:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Baltimore and Los Angeles Dodgers will combine for more than 6.5 runs in their scheduled matchup. On Kalshi, the leading outcome currently stands at 99.0%. Resolution will be determined by the official run total from the professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. Watch for the final score when the game concludes on June 20, 2026, as that will determine whether the combined runs exceed the 6.5-run threshold.
Resolution is based on the final official score of the Baltimore vs Los Angeles Dodgers professional baseball game scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. The combined run total from both teams determines all outcomes. Each threshold from 2.5 runs through 12.5 runs represents a separate resolution point: the market resolves Yes if the combined total exceeds the specified threshold, and No otherwise. Official scoring follows standard Major League Baseball rules and is determined by the official game record.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market reflects what a broad community of traders believes will happen, whereas a sportsbook line is designed to attract equal volume on both sides. Over time, prediction market prices tend to incorporate new information quickly, sometimes leading or lagging traditional betting lines depending on which venue reacts faster to breaking news or shifts in public opinion.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different run-total outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the collective willingness of traders to accept that result, with higher prices indicating greater perceived likelihood. As new information emerges—injuries, weather, lineup changes—traders adjust their positions, and the market price moves accordingly. This continuous repricing ensures the odds stay responsive to real-world developments leading up to game time.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the game concludes and the final run total is confirmed. The outcome is verified against credible public sources to ensure accuracy. Until that point, traders can continue to buy and sell shares as new information and game developments shift expectations. Resolution happens automatically once the official result is recorded, settling all open positions based on the actual combined runs scored by both teams.
Key lineup announcements—such as star players being ruled out or returning from injury—can shift run-total expectations significantly. Weather conditions at game time, including wind speed and temperature, influence offensive output and may trigger repricing. Bullpen or pitching matchup changes can alter scoring dynamics. Recent team performance trends, batting averages in similar conditions, and any last-minute roster moves will also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about player health or strategic adjustments closer to game time often triggers sharp moves in this market as traders react to new information.