TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 1:00 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks home run performance in the Baltimore vs Los Angeles Dodgers game on June 20, 2026. A home run occurs when a batter hits the ball over the outfield fence or otherwise scores without being put out. The event measures whether specific players hit at least a certain number of home runs during the game.
If Freddie Freeman records 1+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Freddie Freeman records 2+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gunnar Henderson records 1+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Gunnar Henderson records 2+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Tucker records 1+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Kyle Tucker records 2+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mookie Betts records 1+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Mookie Betts records 2+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pete Alonso records 1+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes. If Pete Alonso records 2+ home runs in Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for Jun 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new data surfaces or casual versus professional traders shift positioning. Comparing the two can reveal where market participants see value relative to conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers that determine the real-time odds. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by correctly predicting the total home runs in the Baltimore-Los Angeles game, with contract prices reflecting the collective forecast of all participants. As new information emerges—injury reports, lineup changes, or weather updates—the price adjusts to reflect updated expectations.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, once the Baltimore-Los Angeles game concludes and the final home run count is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the total number of home runs hit by both teams combined during the game. Resolution occurs after official box scores and game records are finalized, ensuring accuracy and fairness for all traders.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before resolution. Key player injuries or roster changes to either team will alter expectations around offensive power. Weather conditions—wind speed and direction, temperature, and humidity—significantly impact home run frequency. Lineup announcements, bullpen availability, and recent team performance trends also influence trader positioning. Breaking news about stadium conditions or last-minute roster decisions can trigger sharp price movements as participants reassess their forecasts.