TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 12:54 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether the Los Angeles Dodgers will defeat the Baltimore Orioles in their regular season matchup. On Kalshi, Los Angeles D is priced at 86.0%, while Baltimore holds 14.0%. The market resolves based on the official result of the professional baseball game scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. Watch for team roster updates and injury reports leading up to the game start time on June 20, 2026.
Resolution is based on the final outcome of the Baltimore vs Los Angeles D professional baseball game originally scheduled for June 20, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open and closes after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one are driven purely by trader belief and financial incentive. This market aggregates the views of many participants betting real money on the outcome, which can reveal insights that differ from conventional sportsbook pricing, particularly when public perception lags behind emerging information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the probability traders assign to that result, with active trading continuously updating the odds. As new developments occur or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread narrows or widens, and prices adjust to clear supply and demand. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to real-time information.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning shares will be determined by which side of the matchup prevails according to official sources. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome will receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the event concludes and the result is publicly confirmed.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and coaching decisions can also shift trader sentiment. Media coverage and expert analysis may influence perception, while betting patterns from sharp money often signal informed conviction. Any unexpected developments in the lead-up to the event—trades, trades, or tactical shifts—could trigger significant repricing as the market recalibrates its odds.