TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 1:14 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between the Baltimore Orioles and Los Angeles Dodgers. On Kalshi, Los Angeles D is priced at 60.0%, while Baltimore holds 40.0%. The market resolves according to the official result of the game scheduled for June 19, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT, as determined by Major League Baseball. Watch for the final outcome when the game concludes on the evening of June 19, 2026.
Markets resolve Yes if the respective team wins the game originally scheduled for Jun 19, 2026 at 10:10 PM EDT. If the game is postponed or delayed, markets remain open and close after the rescheduled game concludes within two days. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled more than two days away, markets resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance action and protect their margin, while prediction markets aggregate beliefs from traders risking real capital. This market may show different implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new developments occur. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd on Kalshi sees value or disagreement with conventional betting lines. Both sources are useful for understanding different perspectives on the likely outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the balance between buyers and sellers at any given moment. As traders place orders, the price adjusts to clear supply and demand. You can enter limit or market orders to take positions, and your profit or loss is determined by the final resolution price. The platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery based on real trading activity.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The winning outcome is determined by the actual result of the matchup as documented by authoritative sports sources. Traders holding the correct outcome receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The exact timing of resolution depends on when the event concludes and the result is officially confirmed. Early resolution is possible if the outcome becomes certain before the scheduled end date.
Key catalysts include team roster changes, injury announcements, recent performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and coaching decisions can also influence trader expectations. Media coverage and expert analysis often trigger price shifts as new information reaches the market. Trading volume typically spikes around major announcements or as the event date approaches. Monitoring team news, injury reports, and betting line movements on traditional sportsbooks can help you anticipate how this market may react before resolution.