TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 24, 7:34 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks individual team run totals for Baltimore and Los Angeles Angels in their professional baseball game on June 24, 2026. Bettors can wager on whether each team scores above specific run thresholds ranging from 1.5 to 7.5 runs.
Resolution is determined by the individual run totals for Los Angeles Angels and Baltimore in the game scheduled for June 24, 2026 at 4:07 PM EDT. Los Angeles Angels outcomes resolve based on whether they score 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Baltimore outcomes resolve based on whether they score 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), 4 or more runs (over 3.5), 5 or more runs (over 4.5), 6 or more runs (over 5.5), 7 or more runs (over 6.5), or 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Each outcome resolves independently based on its respective team's final run total.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show higher or lower implied probabilities than traditional sportsbooks, depending on which group of participants has superior information or conviction. Comparing the two can reveal where smart money is positioning itself relative to public betting sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts based on their belief in the outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each contract reflects the collective probability estimate of all active traders. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, causing the market price to move in real time. This continuous repricing ensures the odds stay responsive to changing expectations about the event.
This market resolves around Jun 24, 2026, at which point the outcome will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final verified result of the matchup between the two teams. Traders holding contracts aligned with the actual outcome will receive their payouts, while those on the incorrect side will see their positions expire worthless. Mark your calendar and monitor official sources as the date approaches.
Key catalysts for this market include injury announcements, roster changes, recent team performance trends, and head-to-head matchup history. Betting line movements at major sportsbooks often signal sharp action and can influence trader positioning here. Weather conditions, travel schedules, and back-to-back game fatigue may also shift expectations. Breaking news about player availability or coaching decisions in the days leading up to the event typically triggers repricing as traders adjust their probability estimates.