TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 12:19 AM EST
Kalshi
This baseball game between Baltimore and Los Angeles A is scheduled for June 22, 2026. These markets track individual team scoring performance, measuring whether each team will score above specific run thresholds during the full game.
Resolution is based on individual team performance in the Baltimore vs Los Angeles A game originally scheduled for June 22, 2026 at 9:38 PM EDT. Los Angeles A markets resolve based on whether that team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), up through 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Baltimore markets similarly resolve based on whether that team scores 2 or more runs (over 1.5), 3 or more runs (over 2.5), up through 8 or more runs (over 7.5). Each threshold is evaluated independently against the final team score.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one are driven by trader belief and real-money risk. Prediction markets typically aggregate dispersed information more efficiently over time, sometimes offering sharper odds than traditional sportsbooks. However, sportsbooks may move faster on breaking news due to their professional risk management. Comparing the two can reveal valuable trading opportunities and help you gauge where smart money is positioned.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing different outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective probability traders assign to that outcome, ranging from 0 to 100 cents. As new information surfaces or sentiment shifts, traders adjust their bids and asks, moving the price in real time. This decentralized pricing model ensures the market reflects current trader conviction without relying on a single bookmaker's judgment.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on the final verified result of the Baltimore versus Los Angeles matchup and the specific team total that is recorded. Traders should monitor official league sources and reputable sports data providers as the event date approaches to anticipate how this market will settle. Early resolution is possible if the outcome becomes mathematically certain before the scheduled end date.
Key injury announcements, roster changes, or coaching decisions involving either team can shift trader expectations and move prices significantly. Recent performance trends, head-to-head matchup history, and weather conditions on game day are also important catalysts. Major news about player availability or team strategy often triggers rapid repricing as traders reassess the likelihood of different outcomes. Additionally, shifts in broader market sentiment or large trades by sophisticated traders can accelerate price movement. Monitoring team news and sports analytics throughout the lead-up to the event will help you stay ahead of market moves.