TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:39 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the combined scoring performance of two football teams in an upcoming match, focusing on how many times they successfully cross the goal line. The outcome depends on whether their collective efforts result in a specific number of scoring plays or more. All scoring plays counted, regardless of when they occur in the game.
All markets resolve based on the total number of touchdowns scored by both Baltimore and Indianapolis during their Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Touchdowns scored in overtime count toward the final total. If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the official final result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets resolve to a fair price. Each market has a specific threshold (ranging from 3 to 8 touchdowns) that determines a 'Yes' outcome; any failure to meet or exceed the threshold results in a 'No' outcome. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines due to differing information and incentives. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and ensure profit, while this market allows traders to express their own beliefs about the likelihood of various outcomes. While sportsbooks may adjust their odds based on betting patterns, this market continuously updates based on every trade, potentially leading to a more accurate forecast of the total touchdowns scored. It's common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or news breaks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different total touchdown outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's collective probability assessment of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to set prices that accurately reflect their beliefs, as they profit from correctly predicting the final result. As more trades occur, the price converges towards what the market believes is the true probability, providing a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game's potential scoring.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total number of touchdowns scored in the Baltimore versus Indianapolis game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. The resolution will be based on official game statistics, ensuring a transparent and objective result. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the actual total touchdowns will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for incorrect outcomes will not.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Baltimore or Indianapolis teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest unfavorable conditions for passing, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or defensive adjustments could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, large volume trades from informed participants could quickly alter the price, reflecting new information or a change in overall market perception.