TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:20 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks player performance metrics in a specific football game, focusing on combined rushing and receiving yardage thresholds for multiple participants. Outcomes depend on whether individual players meet or exceed set yardage totals during the match.
All markets resolve based on the combined rushing and receiving yards accumulated by specified players during the Baltimore vs. Indianapolis Pro Football game scheduled for September 13, 2026. For each market, if the named player records the specified yardage threshold or more, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. A key secondary rule applies uniformly: if a player is listed as active for the game but does not take a single snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. However, once a player takes at least one snap—regardless of whether that snap is nullified by a penalty—the market settles strictly based on the actual rushing and receiving yards they record during the game. This consistent secondary rule ensures clarity and fairness across all markets, whether the threshold is 20+ yards for a backup player like Justice Hill or 150+ yards for a star such as Jonathan Taylor or Derrick Henry.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines which are set by analysts. Sportsbooks may incorporate biases or adjust lines based on betting action to manage risk, while this market aggregates diverse opinions. If a significant discrepancy exists between prediction market probabilities and sportsbook odds, it could indicate that the market believes the sportsbook has mispriced the event. However, it’s important to remember that both represent probabilities of an outcome, and neither is guaranteed to be correct.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price adjusts accordingly. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to provide a real-time assessment of the likelihood of various results for the rushing and receiving yards total, based on collective intelligence.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official statistics for the Baltimore versus Indianapolis game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final combined rushing and receiving yardage totals for the players involved will be used to determine whether the 'over' or 'under' contract will pay out. This resolution process relies on publicly available and independently verified data, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome for all participants in this market.
Several factors could influence this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either team would likely have a significant impact, as would changes in weather forecasts that could affect the game's strategy. Late-breaking reports on player matchups or coaching decisions could also shift market sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity – a large influx of volume on one side of the market – could cause the price to move, reflecting a change in perceived probability. Monitoring these signals is crucial for traders seeking to capitalize on market movements.