TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track how often a star running back gets the ball in a key NFL matchup. The outcome depends entirely on his usage by the coaching staff during the game. Higher thresholds represent increasingly demanding performance benchmarks for the player.
All markets resolve based on the total number of rushing attempts recorded by Derrick Henry in the specified Baltimore vs. Indianapolis game. Each market has a different threshold (15+, 16+, etc.), with the outcome determined by whether Henry meets or exceeds that specific numerical mark. If Henry is active for the team but does not take any snaps, all markets settle at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once Henry takes at least one snap—regardless of whether the play is nullified by penalty—the markets resolve strictly according to the actual rushing attempts he records during the game. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds, creating a graduated set of outcomes based on Henry's workload in the contest.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes for the total rushing attempts. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders aim to profit by accurately predicting the outcome and capitalizing on price discrepancies. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and disagreement among traders regarding the likely number of rushing attempts in the game.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official game statistics are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final number of combined rushing attempts by both the Baltimore and Indianapolis teams will be used to determine the winning contracts. The official NFL game statistics will serve as the source for the resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome. Traders should monitor the game closely as it progresses to understand how the final result will impact their positions in this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Injury reports for key running backs on either team would be significant, as would any changes in weather conditions expected during the game. News regarding coaching strategies or anticipated game plans could also shift trader sentiment. Unexpected lineup changes or in-game adjustments to offensive schemes could also lead to price movements. Finally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could affect trading activity in this market.