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Kalshi:
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Closed: Sep 13, 2:25 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 28 points in an upcoming professional football game. It considers scenarios where either team achieves this milestone or if neither does throughout the entire match, including any overtime periods.
The event determines the outcome based on which team scores the 28th point first in the full game, including overtime, of the Baltimore vs. Indianapolis Pro Football game originally scheduled for September 13, 2026. If Indianapolis reaches 28 points before Baltimore, the market resolves in favor of the Indianapolis outcome. Conversely, if Baltimore achieves the 28-point mark first, the market resolves for Baltimore. Should neither team reach 28 points by the end of regulation or overtime, the market resolves for the Neither Team outcome. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring all possible scenarios are accounted for fairly and transparently.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, where traders submit bids and offers for contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about the likelihood of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The closer the event gets, the more volatile the prices may become as new information impacts traders' expectations. Traders are attempting to forecast which team will reach 28 points first, and their actions directly determine the prices you see on the dashboard.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team, Baltimore or Indianapolis, reached 28 points first during the game. The final score will be used to verify the winning team. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and reported by reputable sports news sources. Traders will then be paid out based on whether their chosen outcome aligned with the verified result.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Baltimore or Indianapolis would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in team performance during recent games, or adjustments to offensive or defensive strategies, could also impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role, potentially affecting scoring rates. Finally, any significant public endorsements or expert predictions could shift the market's direction as traders react to new information.