TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Baltimore vs Indianapolis: Race to 14 Points
kalshi

Which team will reach 14 points first?

Volume:
$650

Baltimore reaches 14 points first

 - Kalshi

Baltimore reaches 14 points first - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 1:51 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Baltimore reaches 14 points first

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$599
N/A
N/A
$584
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Neither team reaches 14 points

0%
14%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$37
N/A
N/A
$37
Settled
No
kalshi

Indianapolis reaches 14 points first

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$14
N/A
N/A
$14
Settled
No
Total markets: 3

Description

This event tracks which team will score the fourteenth point first in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the sequence of scoring milestones rather than the final score, focusing on the pace and strategy of the game. The outcome depends purely on when each team reaches that specific point threshold during play.

Kalshi

The event determines whether Baltimore or Indianapolis scores the fourteenth point first in their scheduled professional football game on September 13, 2026, or if neither team reaches that mark. Resolution hinges on the official game result, including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final outcome. Should the game fail to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, markets resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to one of three possible outcomes: Indianapolis scoring first, Baltimore scoring first, or neither team reaching fourteen points.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Baltimore vs Indianapolis points race tracks the current odds of each team reaching 14 points first. You’ll see a dynamic price reflecting trader sentiment, the total volume traded, which currently stands at $650, and the 24-hour volume, at $626. This allows you to monitor how the market is reacting to news and information related to both teams. The dashboard provides a real-time view of where traders believe the advantage lies in this contest, and how much conviction they have in their predictions.

Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their lines, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, particularly as new information emerges. If a large number of traders on Kalshi strongly believe one team will reach 14 points first, the odds will reflect that, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will reach 14 points first. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the points race. The current price represents the collective wisdom of the crowd.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Baltimore or Indianapolis – reached 14 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring, as reported by trusted sports news sources. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the outcome is officially verified.

Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Baltimore or Indianapolis would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team performance, such as a particularly strong or weak showing in a recent game, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role. Finally, any significant strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff could move the market as traders reassess the probabilities of each team reaching 14 points first.