TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 1:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will score the fourteenth point first in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the sequence of scoring milestones rather than the final score, focusing on the pace and strategy of the game. The outcome depends purely on when each team reaches that specific point threshold during play.
The event determines whether Baltimore or Indianapolis scores the fourteenth point first in their scheduled professional football game on September 13, 2026, or if neither team reaches that mark. Resolution hinges on the official game result, including any overtime periods. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of its original time, markets remain open and resolve based on the final outcome. Should the game fail to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, markets resolve to a fair price. Each market corresponds to one of three possible outcomes: Indianapolis scoring first, Baltimore scoring first, or neither team reaching fourteen points.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often include a 'vig' or commission built into their lines, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess probabilities. This can lead to differences, particularly as new information emerges. If a large number of traders on Kalshi strongly believe one team will reach 14 points first, the odds will reflect that, potentially diverging from initial sportsbook lines. These differences can present opportunities for informed traders to find value.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will reach 14 points first. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, providing a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each team winning the points race. The current price represents the collective wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team – Baltimore or Indianapolis – reached 14 points first during the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and scoring, as reported by trusted sports news sources. Traders will be able to see the final result reflected in their account balances shortly after the game concludes and the outcome is officially verified.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either Baltimore or Indianapolis would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in team performance, such as a particularly strong or weak showing in a recent game, could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions on game day might also play a role. Finally, any significant strategic adjustments announced by either coaching staff could move the market as traders reassess the probabilities of each team reaching 14 points first.