TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Baltimore vs Indianapolis: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Baltimore vs Indianapolis?

Volume:
$157,068

Jonathan Taylor

 - Kalshi

Jonathan Taylor - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 1:26 PM EST

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Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$26,471
N/A
N/A
$25,662
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Elijah Sarratt

3%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
100¢
N/A
$20,449
N/A
N/A
$19,819
Settled
No
kalshi

Derrick Henry

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$19,879
N/A
N/A
$18,961
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Warren

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,553
N/A
N/A
$18,240
Settled
No
kalshi

Lamar Jackson

0%
7%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,190
N/A
N/A
$17,129
Settled
No
kalshi

Alec Pierce

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,262
N/A
N/A
$9,894
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Andrews

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,729
N/A
N/A
$8,523
Settled
No
kalshi

Ja'Kobi Lane

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,669
N/A
N/A
$6,659
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Hibner

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,555
N/A
N/A
$6,555
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Downs

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,489
N/A
N/A
$5,967
Settled
No
kalshi

Zay Flowers

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,482
N/A
N/A
$3,472
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Jones

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,579
N/A
N/A
$2,563
Settled
No
kalshi

Keenan Allen

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,940
N/A
N/A
$1,871
Settled
No
kalshi

Justice Hill

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,811
N/A
N/A
$1,811
Settled
No
kalshi

Mo Alie-Cox

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,256
N/A
N/A
$1,256
Settled
No
kalshi

Rashod Bateman

0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,003
N/A
N/A
$1,003
Settled
No
kalshi

Durham Smythe

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$842
N/A
N/A
$842
Settled
No
kalshi

Rasheen Ali

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$829
N/A
N/A
$825
Settled
No
kalshi

Ashton Dulin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$766
N/A
N/A
$762
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens D/ST

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$632
N/A
N/A
$632
Settled
No
kalshi

Deion Burks

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$338
N/A
N/A
$334
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts D/ST

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$241
N/A
N/A
$241
Settled
No
kalshi

Laquon Treadwell

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$98
N/A
N/A
$94
Settled
No
kalshi

Drew Ogletree

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

Devontez Walker

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 28

Description

This event tracks which player will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game between two teams. It reflects betting interest in player performance and game dynamics, focusing on the pivotal moment of the first scoring play.

Kalshi

Each market corresponds to a specific player from either team, with the outcome resolving to 'Yes' if that player scores the first touchdown of the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the market resolves based on whether that player scores the first touchdown. If no touchdowns are scored during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all individual player markets resolve to 'No.' These rules ensure clarity regarding player participation and scoring thresholds, while also accounting for potential game anomalies such as penalties or inactive players.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current price of each player to score the first touchdown, along with the 24-hour trading volume of $141,200 and the total volume traded to date of $157,068. You can also view a price history chart to see how the odds have fluctuated over time. This provides a visual representation of where traders are placing their bets and how sentiment is shifting regarding which player will break the goal line first in the Baltimore versus Indianapolis game.

Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, but may also incorporate a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are actively buying and selling contracts, expressing their own beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. As a result, the odds on Kalshi may offer a different perspective than those found at conventional sportsbooks, potentially identifying discrepancies or undervalued opportunities.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each player's probability of scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. As more people buy contracts for a particular player, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the collective intelligence of the traders participating.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the player who scores the first touchdown in the Baltimore versus Indianapolis game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and play-by-play data, ensuring an objective and transparent outcome. Traders will be able to view the final result on Kalshi after the game concludes and the information is verified.

Several factors could influence the odds in this market leading up to game time. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in the starting lineup, or even weather conditions could significantly shift trader sentiment. A key player being ruled out would likely increase the probability of other players scoring first. Additionally, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated betting trends could also impact trading activity and cause the prices to fluctuate. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to capitalize on potential movements in this market.