TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Baltimore vs Indianapolis: 1st Indianapolis Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Indianapolis' first touchdown?

Volume:
$207,543

Jonathan Taylor

 - Kalshi

Jonathan Taylor - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 13, 2:50 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Jonathan Taylor

View
100%
74%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,476
N/A
N/A
$5,473
Settled
Yes
kalshi

DJ Giddens

View
3%
1%
Yes 3¢No 97¢
100¢
N/A
$201,332
N/A
N/A
$200,017
Settled
No
kalshi

Daniel Jones

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$219
N/A
N/A
$219
Settled
No
kalshi

Tyler Warren

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$132
N/A
N/A
$121
Settled
No
kalshi

Alec Pierce

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$111
N/A
N/A
$111
Settled
No
kalshi

Keenan Allen

View
0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$75
N/A
N/A
$75
Settled
No
kalshi

IND Colts D/ST

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$41
N/A
N/A
$31
Settled
No
kalshi

Josh Downs

View
0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
kalshi

Ashton Dulin

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$36
N/A
N/A
$36
Settled
No
kalshi

Seth McGowan

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23
N/A
N/A
$23
Settled
No
kalshi

Mo Alie-Cox

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

Deion Burks

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
$21
Settled
No
kalshi

Laquon Treadwell

View
0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
Settled
No
Total markets: 13

Description

This set of markets focuses on predicting which Indianapolis player or unit will score the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game against Baltimore. Each market corresponds to a specific player or the defensive unit, determining if they will be the first to cross the goal line for Indianapolis.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified Indianapolis player or unit scores the first touchdown of the game. If the designated player or unit is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once a snap is taken—even if the play is nullified by a penalty—the outcome depends solely on whether that player or unit scores the first touchdown. If Indianapolis fails to score any touchdowns during the game, all player-specific markets resolve to No, and the No Indianapolis Touchdown market resolves to Yes. These rules apply uniformly across all individual player and unit markets for this event.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Indianapolis first touchdown market tracks the current price, price history, and 24-hour trading volume. Currently, volume is at $207,401 and total volume for this market is $207,543. You can see how the price fluctuates as traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about whether a touchdown will be scored by Indianapolis first. The dashboard provides a visual representation of market sentiment and activity, allowing you to monitor changes in expectations leading up to the event.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the views of many individual traders. It's common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. Comparing the two can be a useful exercise for informed decision-making, but remember that each represents a distinct form of forecasting.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of Indianapolis scoring the first touchdown. The price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and express their views, the price adjusts to reflect the collective assessment. This dynamic pricing allows the market to incorporate new information and changing expectations in real-time, offering a continuously updated forecast.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which team scores the first touchdown in the game. The resolution will be based on official game statistics and verified against credible public sources. The final price of the contracts will reflect the certainty of the outcome as determined by these sources, finalizing the results for all participants in this market.

Several signals could significantly move this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Baltimore or Indianapolis teams would be a major catalyst. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor a passing or running game, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale could also shift expectations. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking news or analysis from sports analysts could impact the perceived probability of Indianapolis scoring first.