TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 4:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which team will win the professional baseball game between Baltimore and Detroit. On Kalshi, Baltimore currently holds a 52.0% probability of winning, while Detroit has a 48.0% probability. The resolution source is the game's result as determined by official league records. The outcome will be known following the game scheduled for July 29, 2026, which will end the betting period and determine the market's final settlement based on the teams' performance that day.
The market resolves based on the result of the professional baseball game between Baltimore and Detroit originally scheduled for July 29, 2026, at 1:10 PM EDT. If Baltimore wins, its corresponding market resolves to Yes; if Detroit wins, its market resolves to Yes. Should the game be postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes, provided the reschedule occurs within two days of the original date. If the game is canceled or rescheduled to more than two days after the original date, the market resolves to a fair price, following the stated guidelines. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook, incorporating a wider range of data points and trader sentiment. While sportsbooks may set lines based on historical performance and public betting trends, prediction markets allow for continuous adjustment. Traders can react instantly to new developments, which may cause this market to diverge from sportsbook lines, especially as key events or injuries come into focus.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is based on the official game outcome, and once the final score is reported by trusted sports news outlets and league sources, the market will close and payouts will be processed accordingly.
Several signals could shift this market before it resolves, including key player injuries, coaching decisions, changes in team rankings, and weather conditions on game day. Additionally, major media analysis, betting trends, and unexpected developments — such as trade announcements or performance slumps — may cause traders to adjust their positions. As the event draws nearer, any news that impacts team strength or fan sentiment can lead to noticeable price movements.