TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks rushing yard milestones for key players in an upcoming professional football game. Outcomes depend on whether specified athletes achieve particular rushing yard thresholds during the match.
All markets resolve based on the total rushing yards recorded by the named player in the specified game. If a player is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap — even if that play is nullified by penalty — the market resolves strictly according to the actual rushing yards accumulated during the game. All markets are independent and resolve separately, with each defining a distinct numerical threshold that must be met or exceeded for a 'Yes' outcome. Thresholds range from modest to very high yardage targets for each participant, allowing for varied betting opportunities on performance levels. The governing league's official statistics will be the sole source for confirming rushing yard totals.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from expert analysis. Comparing the two can be a valuable exercise when forming your own opinion about the likely outcome of the Baltimore vs. Dallas rushing yardage total.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different rushing yardage outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices dynamically adjust, providing a real-time assessment of expectations for the game. The current price indicates what traders believe is a fair value for the probability of a specific rushing yard total.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official rushing yardage totals for the Baltimore vs. Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be based on the official statistics released by the NFL, and the contract corresponding to the closest rushing yardage range will be settled as the winner. Traders should monitor official sources for the final statistics to understand the resolution of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding injuries to key running backs on either the Baltimore or Dallas teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they predict inclement conditions, could also shift expectations about rushing yardage totals. Furthermore, late-breaking reports about team strategies or coaching decisions related to the running game could cause the market to react. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for traders looking to capitalize on new information.