TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether a specific player achieves certain cumulative yardage thresholds through both rushing and receiving in a designated football game. The outcomes depend entirely on the player's performance during the match, with specific benchmarks set for success.
All markets resolve based on whether Javonte Williams accumulates specified total yards (combined rushing and receiving) in the Baltimore vs. Dallas game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If Williams is active but does not take a snap, the market settles at the fair market price determined before the game starts. Once Williams participates in any play, even if the play is later nullified by a penalty, the market resolves according to the actual yards recorded during the game. Each market has a distinct yardage threshold (80+, 105+, or 130+), and the market resolves to 'Yes' only if Williams meets or exceeds that threshold. The secondary rules ensure clarity in scenarios where player participation is limited or nullified, maintaining consistency across all markets.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price in this market will adjust accordingly. Discrepancies can emerge due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of crowd-sourced predictions. It’s common to see this market offer a different perspective than conventional betting lines.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price fluctuates, providing a real-time assessment of expectations. Traders are incentivized to provide accurate predictions, as profitable trades are rewarded. The market’s efficiency stems from the diverse perspectives and continuous price discovery process.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The total combined rushing and receiving yards for both the Baltimore Ravens and the Dallas Cowboys will be tallied from official game statistics. These statistics will be verified against credible public sources to determine the final result. The market will then settle based on whether the total yards exceed or fall short of the market’s implied threshold, as reflected in the contract prices at the time of resolution. Traders holding contracts on the correct side will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 28, 2026. Injury reports for key players on either the Ravens or Cowboys, particularly running backs and wide receivers, would be significant catalysts. Changes in weather forecasts, as adverse conditions can impact passing and rushing attacks, could also drive movement. Unexpected news regarding coaching strategies or offensive play-calling could also shift trader sentiment. Finally, any late-breaking information about player availability or team dynamics could lead to price adjustments in this market as traders react to the latest developments.