TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 7:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks specific player performance thresholds in an upcoming American football game, focusing on whether certain athletes achieve designated receiving yard milestones. The outcome depends purely on the players' statistical accomplishments during the match, without influencing broader game results.
All markets refer to receiving yards accumulated by specified players in the Baltimore vs Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. A market resolves to Yes only if the named player records the exact threshold or more receiving yards during the game. If a player is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles at the fair market price determined before kickoff. Once a player takes at least one snap—even if that play is nullified by a penalty—the market settles based strictly on the total receiving yards they record. These rules apply uniformly across all thresholds for each specified player, ensuring consistent evaluation of performance against each yardage benchmark.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately forecast the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each market. It’s common to see prediction markets move faster to incorporate new information than sportsbooks.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks for contracts representing different receiving yardage outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, creating a real-time assessment of the likely total receiving yards. The market depth indicates the level of agreement or disagreement among traders regarding specific yardage ranges.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official receiving yardage totals for the Baltimore Ravens and Dallas Cowboys are verifiable from credible public reporting following the game's completion. The final market price will reflect the actual combined receiving yards achieved during the game. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct yardage range will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect ranges will not. The resolution process ensures an objective determination based on publicly available data.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Injury reports for key wide receivers or tight ends on either team would be a major catalyst, as their absence would directly impact the expected receiving yards. Weather conditions, particularly if there's heavy rain or strong winds, could also affect passing games and therefore the market. Late-breaking news regarding defensive strategies or changes in quarterback play could also cause shifts in trader sentiment. Any significant updates related to the health or expected playing time of key offensive players will likely move this market.