TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 5:17 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks which team will be the first to reach 14 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the dynamic nature of the contest by focusing on early scoring momentum rather than the final outcome. The resolution depends purely on the in-game progression of points.
The event determines whether Dallas, Baltimore, or neither team will be the first to score 14 points in the Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If either team reaches 14 points first during the full game, including any overtime periods, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. Should neither team achieve this milestone, the 'Neither Team' market resolves to Yes. Postponements are handled such that if the game commences within 48 hours of its original scheduled start time, the market remains active and resolves based on the final official result. If the game does not start within this 48-hour window, the market resolves to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants under varying scheduling circumstances.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to dynamically adjust probabilities based on new information and analysis. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new developments emerge that might not be fully priced into sportsbook lines. Comparing the two can offer a broader perspective on the perceived probabilities of different outcomes in the Baltimore vs Dallas points race.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each team reaching 14 points first. As more people buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price of a contract directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome, allowing traders to express their views and profit from correctly anticipating the event’s result.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team reaches 14 points first during the game between Baltimore and Dallas. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to determine the winning outcome and settle all outstanding contracts in this market.
Several factors could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Baltimore or Dallas teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in game strategy, weather forecasts, or even pre-game analysis from sports commentators could also influence trader behavior. Unexpected developments during the game itself, such as turnovers or scoring drives, will have an immediate effect on the market as traders react to the unfolding events and adjust their predictions.