TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:51 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on which team will be the first to reach a score of 10 points in an upcoming professional football game. It captures the early momentum of the match, reflecting how quickly either team can establish a scoring advantage. The outcome depends purely on the game's progression and does not consider the final score.
The event determines which team scores the 10th point first in the Baltimore vs. Dallas Pro Football game scheduled for September 27, 2026. If either Baltimore or Dallas reaches 10 points before the other, the corresponding market resolves to Yes. If neither team achieves this milestone, the Neither Team market resolves to Yes. Postponements are accounted for: if the game starts within 48 hours of its original time, it proceeds as planned; otherwise, the market resolves to a fair price. All resolutions are based on the full game result, including any overtime periods.
Frequently, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks often incorporate biases related to public betting patterns and marketing promotions, while this market represents the collective wisdom of informed traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly in events where there’s significant public interest or a perceived edge among market participants. While sportsbooks may initially set odds based on statistical models, this market continuously adjusts as new information and opinions emerge, potentially offering a more accurate forecast of the outcome.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s expectation of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy into a particular outcome, its price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current price indicates the implied probability assigned by the crowd, and traders aim to profit by identifying discrepancies between their own assessment and the market's collective view. This dynamic pricing mechanism ensures the market is constantly updating its forecast.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be determined by which team reaches 10 points first during the game. The platform will verify the final score against official game statistics to determine the winning outcome. Traders holding contracts on the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on the losing team will not. The resolution process is designed to be transparent and based on objective data.
Several factors could influence the trading activity in this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Baltimore or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact the odds. Furthermore, pre-game analysis from sports analysts and updated team statistics released leading up to the game can all contribute to shifts in market sentiment. Unexpected lineup changes or even a significant media narrative surrounding the matchup could also drive trading volume and price fluctuations.