What is the result of Baltimore vs Dallas?

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their own modeling and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the diverse perspectives of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially early on, as prediction markets can incorporate information and analysis not immediately reflected in traditional odds. However, as the event approaches, the two may converge as more information becomes available and the market matures.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the probability of each player having the longest reception. The price of a contract ranges from 0 to 100, representing the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders buy a contract, the price increases, and vice versa. This dynamic pricing mechanism reflects the collective intelligence of the market participants and provides a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each player achieving the longest reception.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player with the longest reception, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game data and will be determined by the longest single reception achieved during the game, regardless of the quarter or game situation. Any ties will be handled according to the platform’s rules.

Several factors could influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategy affecting passing plays, or even weather conditions that might favor a particular offensive style could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected performance in prior games, or even pre-game reports on player matchups, can also move the market. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large trades on Kalshi itself can create momentum and influence prices, especially as we get closer to Sep 28, 2026.