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Closed: Sep 27, 7:49 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the professional football game between Baltimore and Dallas, scheduled for September 27, 2026, will extend into overtime. Overtime is triggered when both teams are tied at the end of the regulation period, requiring additional quarters to produce a decisive outcome.
If the Baltimore vs Dallas Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 27, 2026 goes to overtime, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply varying interpretations of the teams' strengths. It’s common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information becomes available and traders adjust their positions. Analyzing both can provide a more comprehensive view of the game’s potential.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts. The price of a contract represents the probability of the event occurring – in this case, the game going to overtime. As more traders believe overtime is likely, the price of the ‘yes’ contract increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and reflect the evolving expectations of participants. The current price reflects the aggregated assessment of all traders on Kalshi.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will depend on whether the Baltimore vs. Dallas game officially goes into overtime, as determined by the NFL’s official game results. The market will settle to 100 if the game goes to overtime, and 0 if it does not. The platform will verify the outcome against official sources to ensure an accurate and transparent resolution process.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries for either the Baltimore or Dallas teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favorable for a low-scoring, close game, could also shift trader sentiment. Additionally, any significant shifts in public perception or expert analysis regarding the teams’ offensive and defensive capabilities could impact trading activity and the overall price of contracts in this market.