TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 8:19 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets evaluates individual player and team defensive performances in a specific NFL game, focusing on whether certain athletes or units surpass predetermined fantasy point thresholds using a standardized scoring system.
All markets resolve based on Sleeper’s default full-PPR fantasy scoring for the Baltimore vs Dallas NFL game scheduled for September 27, 2026, including overtime. Each market specifies a player or team unit (D/ST) and a numeric threshold; the market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified entity records more fantasy points than the threshold during the game. Players or units that do not participate or lack a fantasy-point value assigned by Sleeper are considered to have scored zero points. The official fantasy-point totals published by Sleeper at the time of market expiration are used for resolution, with no adjustments for post-expiration corrections or rounding. The scoring system awards points for various in-game achievements such as passing, rushing, receiving yards, touchdowns, interceptions, kicks, sacks, defensive plays, and special teams contributions, with specific point values detailed for each statistic. Defensive units receive additional points based on opponent points allowed, with a sliding scale from +10 for zero allowed to -4 for 35 or more allowed. All markets are independent, and each evaluates a distinct player or unit against their respective threshold.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set initial lines to balance action on both sides, incorporating a profit margin, whereas this market is driven purely by participant predictions. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, analytical approaches, or simply the influence of public perception. It's common to see this market move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or as the event draws closer. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into market sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the market's current expectation of that outcome's probability. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective assessment. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism means the odds are constantly evolving based on supply and demand, offering opportunities for traders to profit from perceived mispricings. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and activity surrounding each possible outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final fantasy point totals for players in the Baltimore vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on standard fantasy scoring rules as defined by major fantasy sports platforms. The market will determine which fantasy point total range is the correct one based on the official game statistics. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings or adjust their strategies for future events based on the verified results.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Baltimore or Dallas teams would likely cause shifts in the odds. Changes in player matchups or weather forecasts could also influence expectations. Furthermore, updates on player practice participation or coaching decisions can provide valuable insights. Unexpected news about player health or performance will likely lead to increased trading volume and price fluctuations in this market, as traders react to the new information and adjust their predictions.