TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Baltimore vs Dallas: 1st Touchdown
kalshi

What is the result of Baltimore vs Dallas?

Volume:
$781,748

Javonte Williams

 - Kalshi

Javonte Williams - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 28, 2026

Closed: Sep 27, 5:13 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Javonte Williams

View
100%
85%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$68,133
N/A
N/A
$38,824
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Emari Demercado

2%
Yes 2¢No 98¢
100¢
N/A
$80
N/A
N/A
$80
Settled
No
kalshi

Lamar Jackson

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$180,663
N/A
N/A
$176,358
Settled
No
kalshi

George Pickens

0%
8%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$107,150
N/A
N/A
$96,144
Settled
No
kalshi

Derrick Henry

0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$106,594
N/A
N/A
$98,930
Settled
No
kalshi

CeeDee Lamb

0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$97,842
N/A
N/A
$92,139
Settled
No
kalshi

Jake Ferguson

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$63,135
N/A
N/A
$61,809
Settled
No
kalshi

Dak Prescott

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,420
N/A
N/A
$33,072
Settled
No
kalshi

Mark Andrews

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$33,622
N/A
N/A
$33,079
Settled
No
kalshi

Brevyn Spann-Ford

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,675
N/A
N/A
$18,484
Settled
No
kalshi

Zay Flowers

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$17,051
N/A
N/A
$14,687
Settled
No
kalshi

Rashod Bateman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,678
N/A
N/A
$15,656
Settled
No
kalshi

Luke Schoonmaker

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,060
N/A
N/A
$7,791
Settled
No
kalshi

Devontez Walker

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,329
N/A
N/A
$5,318
Settled
No
kalshi

Hunter Luepke

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,148
N/A
N/A
$5,148
Settled
No
kalshi

Ryan Flournoy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,027
N/A
N/A
$4,989
Settled
No
kalshi

KaVontae Turpin

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,241
N/A
N/A
$3,241
Settled
No
kalshi

Durham Smythe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,932
N/A
N/A
$2,932
Settled
No
kalshi

No Touchdown

0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,608
N/A
N/A
$2,608
Settled
No
kalshi

Justice Hill

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,420
N/A
N/A
$1,420
Settled
No
kalshi

LaJohntay Wester

0%
3%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,242
N/A
N/A
$1,242
Settled
No
kalshi

Chris Moore

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,233
N/A
N/A
$1,233
Settled
No
kalshi

DAL Cowboys D/ST

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$801
N/A
N/A
$789
Settled
No
kalshi

BAL Ravens D/ST

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$284
N/A
N/A
$256
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Hibner

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$268
N/A
N/A
$268
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Description

This event tracks which player or team scores the first touchdown in an upcoming professional football game. Participants can speculate on individual players, teams' defensive units, or the possibility of no touchdown being scored at all.

Kalshi

Each market resolves based on whether the specified player, team defensive unit, or 'No Touchdown' condition achieves the first touchdown in the designated game. If a participant is active but does not take any snaps, the market settles to its pre-game fair market price. Once a participant takes at least one snap, resolution depends solely on whether they score the first touchdown. If no touchdowns occur during the game, the 'No Touchdown' market resolves to Yes, and all other participant markets resolve to No. All markets are independent, and resolution is strictly based on the timing of the first touchdown without regard to later game events or penalties nullifying snaps.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the first touchdown market tracks the current prices for each player to score the first touchdown of the game. You’ll find a dynamic display of the probabilities implied by these prices, along with the total trading volume of $781,748 and 24-hour volume of $748,027. The dashboard also shows the price history, allowing you to analyze how the market has moved over time. This provides a comprehensive view of trader sentiment surrounding who is most likely to reach the endzone first in the Baltimore versus Dallas matchup.

Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially offering a different perspective than traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. While sportsbooks may initially react to major news, this market can incorporate a wider range of factors and nuanced opinions, leading to potentially more accurate probabilities as the event approaches.

On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of each player scoring the first touchdown. As more people buy a contract, the price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. Conversely, selling pressure lowers the price. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The prices are constantly adjusting based on supply and demand, creating a real-time assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust expectations as game day nears.

This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The player who is officially credited with scoring the first touchdown in the game, as determined by official game statistics, will be the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on the official game records and any subsequent reviews or adjustments made by the relevant league authorities. Any disputes regarding the official scoring record will be resolved using publicly available information.

Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding player injuries, particularly to key offensive players like the starting quarterback or top wide receivers, would likely cause substantial shifts in probabilities. Changes in weather forecasts, especially conditions that favor a running or passing game, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, late-breaking news about team strategies or matchups could lead to adjustments in the market. Even pre-game analysis from prominent sports analysts could sway opinions and affect trading activity in this market.