TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 6:09 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets evaluate how many points each team scores in the first half of an upcoming professional football game. Outcomes depend on whether specified point thresholds are exceeded by either Baltimore or Dallas within the first 30 minutes of play.
All markets resolve based solely on the total points scored by either Baltimore or Dallas in the first half of the game scheduled for September 27, 2026. Each market specifies a different point threshold; if the designated team scores more points than the threshold during the first half, that market resolves to 'Yes.' No other factors—including game outcome, overtime, or post-game events—affect resolution. All secondary disclaimers clarify that the platform is unaffiliated with the governing league and that all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial line setting. Sportsbooks establish lines based on their models and risk management, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information or interpretations, and it's common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information surfaces closer to the event. Analyzing both can offer a more comprehensive view.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell contracts representing potential outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. As more traders participate, the price converges towards a collective assessment of the likelihood. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among traders regarding the potential for a high or low first-half total for both teams.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official first-half team totals from the Baltimore vs Dallas game are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by each team during the first half of the game, as recorded by official game statistics. The platform will then determine which contracts payout based on whether the actual first-half team totals fall within the ranges defined by the market contracts.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Late-breaking news regarding key player injuries or changes in starting lineups for either the Baltimore or Dallas teams would likely have a significant impact. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also shift expectations. Additionally, any significant shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' offensive capabilities could drive trading activity and alter the odds in this market.