TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 31, 8:54 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether either team will score a run in the first inning of the Baltimore versus Colorado professional baseball game. On Kalshi, the current probability for the leading outcome, "1st inning: Over 0.5 runs," is 59.0%. The resolution source is the game's result on the scheduled date. Watch for the game on August 31, 2026, as this is the specific event that will determine the market outcome.
If either team scores a run in the first inning of the Baltimore vs Colorado professional baseball game originally scheduled for Aug 31, 2026 at 8:40 PM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook shaped by active trader participation. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and historical data, this market allows for rapid adjustments driven by real-time trading activity and insider insights, potentially creating tighter spreads or different favorite dynamics.
On Kalshi, traders set the odds for this market through continuous bidding and asking, which determines the current implied probability for each possible outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The top outcome displayed reflects the aggregate of all trader submissions, with the chance percentage showing the market's view of which team is most likely to score first. Volume of $367,084 indicates overall interest, while price fluctuations respond to new information such as starting pitcher announcements or recent team performance.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by whether either team scores a run in the first inning of the game, and the market settles automatically based on official game records.
Injuries to key batters or pitchers, weather delays affecting the start time, and last-minute lineup changes could all shift this market. Any update that alters the perceived advantage for either Baltimore or Colorado in the first inning — such as a star player being scratched or a change in the starting pitcher — may cause rapid price adjustments. As Sep 1, 2026 approaches, real-time game developments right before first pitch will most strongly influence trader behavior and market movement.