TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 25, 10:05 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 26 at 7:15PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a ‘vig’ or commission into their odds, representing their profit margin. This market, however, is driven purely by the collective predictions of traders, aiming to accurately reflect the true probability of each outcome. While sportsbooks may initially set lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, the wisdom of the crowd on Predict can often lead to odds that diverge from those offered elsewhere, especially as new information emerges. It's common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract directly reflects the perceived probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders participate and place bets, the prices adjust, creating a dynamic and real-time assessment of the game's potential results. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform’s interface displays these probabilities as percentages, making it easy to understand the market’s expectations. The more a particular outcome is bought, the higher its price and the greater the implied probability.
This market resolves around Sep 26, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Orioles-Yankees game as reported by a major sports news source. The platform will verify the final score and declare the winning outcome accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will be paid out based on the final market prices at resolution. It’s important to monitor the official results to understand how this market settles.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Orioles or the Yankees would likely cause a shift in probabilities. Changes in the starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, or even significant pre-game analysis from baseball experts could all move the market. Unexpected lineup changes or late-breaking news about team morale could also play a role. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for anyone looking to make informed trading decisions in this market.