TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 27, 4:05 PM EST
Predict
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 27 at 3:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Yankees, scheduled for September 27 at 3:20PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Yankees" if the New York Yankees win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Typically, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and build in a profit margin, while this market reflects the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. Often, prediction markets are more accurate forecasts of future events than traditional odds, especially when there’s significant public interest. However, sportsbook odds can still be useful for comparison, providing another data point when evaluating the potential outcome of the Orioles-Yankees game. It’s important to remember that both represent probabilities, but are derived through different mechanisms.
On Predict, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Predict, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, creating a dynamic and responsive forecast. The current price indicates what traders believe is the fair probability of a particular result in the Orioles-Yankees game, and is driven by supply and demand for those contracts.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Orioles-Yankees game, as reported by a trusted sports data source. The market will determine which outcome—a win for the Orioles or a win for the Yankees—is the winning contract. Traders who correctly predicted the result will receive a payout based on the final odds at resolution, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake. The final result will be publicly available on Predict.
Several factors could influence this market before the game is played. Any news regarding key player injuries on either the Orioles or the Yankees would likely cause significant shifts in the odds. Changes in starting pitchers, weather forecasts impacting playing conditions, and even late-breaking news about team morale or strategy could all move the market. Unexpected announcements about lineup changes or managerial decisions can also have an impact. As the game approaches, any information that alters the perceived probability of either team winning will be reflected in the trading activity on Predict.