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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

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$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
polymarket
predict
kalshi

Who will win Baltimore Orioles vs New York Mets?

Volume:
$1,938,792

Baltimore

 - Kalshi

Baltimore - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 14, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Baltimore

View
100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$562,496
N/A
N/A
$306,240
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$431,241
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets

View
99%
52%
Yes 99¢No 1¢
—
$33,017
$14,740
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

O/U 8.5

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$104,991
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 7.5

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$46,535
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 9.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$18,252
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 11.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,976
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,460
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 10.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$449
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$118
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Extra Innings

View
100%
91%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$91
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

NRFI

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$71
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5

View
100%
19%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$30
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

New York M

View
0%
53%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$726,068
N/A
N/A
$408,584
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -1.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,078
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,408
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
32%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$50
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings Spread -1.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 12.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st 5 Innings O/U 6.5

View
0%
26%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks whether the Baltimore Orioles team total will be over or under 2.5 runs in their game against the New York Mets. Currently, the consensus probability that the Orioles will score over 2.5 runs is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of views from Polymarket, Predict, and Kalshi, and will resolve based on official statistics reported by https://www.mlb.com/. Be aware that the Kalshi market resolves to a game scheduled for September 14, 2026, so monitor the results of the game on that date to see if the outcome matches the other platforms’ September 14/15, 2024, fixture.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: A significant date discrepancy exists between the platforms, with Kalshi referencing a game two years in the future.Hero tip: Avoid trading the Kalshi market unless you specifically intend to predict the outcome of the 2026 game. Focus on the Predict and Polymarket markets for the current season's game.

Critical divergence points:

  • Predict: Resolves to the winner of the September 14th game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled or tied, it resolves 50-50. "This market will resolve to 'Baltimore Orioles' if the Baltimore Orioles win the game."
  • Polymarket: Resolves to the winner of the September 15th game. If the game is postponed, the market remains open. If canceled or tied, it resolves 50-50. "This market will resolve to 'Baltimore Orioles' if the Baltimore Orioles win the game."
  • Kalshi: Resolves to either Baltimore or New York winning the game originally scheduled for September 14, 2026. "If Baltimore wins...then the market resolves to Yes."
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets, scheduled for September 15 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Kalshi

The market resolves to Yes for the Baltimore outcome if Baltimore wins the specified game, and to Yes for the New York M outcome if New York M wins. If the game is postponed or delayed, the market remains open until the rescheduled game concludes within two days of the original date. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two days beyond the original date, the market resolves to a fair price according to the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks belong to their respective owners.

Predict

In the upcoming MLB game between the Baltimore Orioles and New York Mets, scheduled for September 14 at 7:10PM ET: This market will resolve to "Baltimore Orioles" if the Baltimore Orioles win the game. This market will resolve to "New York Mets" if the New York Mets win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for the Orioles-Mets game, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the nature of how they are determined. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market relies on the collective predictions of informed traders. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when significant information isn’t widely available. The volume of $1,938,792 in this market suggests a degree of confidence in the crowd’s assessment, potentially offering a different perspective than conventional betting lines. Both can be valuable tools for analysis.

Polymarket and Predict can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Prices on Polymarket and Predict for the Orioles-Mets game can diverge due to several factors. Each platform attracts a different user base with varying expertise and information, leading to differing opinions reflected in trading activity. Market design choices, such as trading fees or liquidity provisions, can also influence price formation. Furthermore, the volume traded on each platform – currently $1,938,792 overall – impacts price discovery; lower volume can lead to greater price volatility. These differences demonstrate how prediction markets aggregate diverse perspectives on the same event, offering a robust measure of collective belief.