TOTAL VOLUME:
$53.9b
24H VOL:
$231,847,320
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,314,157,835
499,417
Markets across
14,310
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,754
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Ball State Cardinals vs. Western Michigan Broncos
Volume:
$382,757
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers a Men's College Basketball game between Ball State Cardinals and Western Michigan Broncos scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-2.5 and -3.5), and over/under totals at three different lines (135.5, 136.5, and 137.5).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Moneyline market structure differs between platforms. Kalshi uses binary Yes/No resolution (Yes if game is played and completed), while Polymarket uses categorical resolution (specific team name). Spread and total markets are logically consistent across both platforms.Hero Tip:
Do not treat Kalshi moneyline and Polymarket moneyline as direct hedges. Kalshi moneyline essentially bets on game completion; Polymarket moneyline bets on team outcome. For spreads and totals, resolution logic is unified: use final score including overtime, postponement keeps markets open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Moneyline resolves to Yes if either team wins (game is completed). Structure: binary Yes outcome. Key Quote: 'If Western Michigan wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Ball St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
- Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the winning team's name (Ball State Cardinals or Western Michigan Broncos). Structure: categorical outcome. Key Quote: 'If the Ball State Cardinals win, the market will resolve to Ball State Cardinals. If the Western Michigan Broncos win, the market will resolve to Western Michigan Broncos.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.13.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.