TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ball State Cardinals vs. Western Michigan Broncos
kalshi
polymarket

Ball State Cardinals vs. Western Michigan Broncos

Volume:
$382,757

Ball St.

 - Kalshi

Ball St. - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Mar 4, 2026

Closed: Mar 3, 10:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Ball St.

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$130,284
N/A
N/A
$47,179
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ball State Cardinals vs. Western Michigan Broncos

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$48,395
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 137.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$5,875
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 136.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 135.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$417
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Western Michigan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196,133
N/A
N/A
$110,790
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -3.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$709
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Spread -2.5

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$465
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 8

Description

This event group covers a Men's College Basketball game between Ball State Cardinals and Western Michigan Broncos scheduled for March 3, 2026 at 7:00 PM ET. Markets span moneyline (winner), point spreads at multiple thresholds (-2.5 and -3.5), and over/under totals at three different lines (135.5, 136.5, and 137.5).

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Moneyline market structure differs between platforms. Kalshi uses binary Yes/No resolution (Yes if game is played and completed), while Polymarket uses categorical resolution (specific team name). Spread and total markets are logically consistent across both platforms.Hero tip: Do not treat Kalshi moneyline and Polymarket moneyline as direct hedges. Kalshi moneyline essentially bets on game completion; Polymarket moneyline bets on team outcome. For spreads and totals, resolution logic is unified: use final score including overtime, postponement keeps markets open, cancellation with no makeup resolves 50-50.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Moneyline resolves to Yes if either team wins (game is completed). Structure: binary Yes outcome. Key Quote: 'If Western Michigan wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Ball St. wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Moneyline resolves to the winning team's name (Ball State Cardinals or Western Michigan Broncos). Structure: categorical outcome. Key Quote: 'If the Ball State Cardinals win, the market will resolve to Ball State Cardinals. If the Western Michigan Broncos win, the market will resolve to Western Michigan Broncos.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.