TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 5, 3:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for Ohio State versus Ball State in the second half of their college football game. Each market corresponds to a specific point differential threshold that Ohio State must exceed to win that particular market, with various thresholds provided for both teams.
All markets resolve based solely on points scored during the second half of play, excluding any overtime periods. For markets where Ohio State is the favored team, a 'Yes' outcome occurs if Ohio State wins the second half by more than the specified point margin. Conversely, markets favoring Ball State resolve to 'Yes' if Ball State wins the second half by more than the stated margin. If the originally scheduled game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of its intended start time, all markets remain active and resolve according to the final official result. Should the game fail to start within this 48-hour window, all markets will instead resolve to a fair price, reflecting equitable valuation given the circumstances.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and risk assessment, while this market allows individuals to express their beliefs about the outcome. If a significant difference emerges between the two, opportunities for arbitrage may arise, as traders attempt to profit from the discrepancy. However, it's important to remember that both represent probabilities and are subject to change based on new information and evolving sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring in the second half of the Ball St. vs Ohio St. game. As more traders participate, the price adjusts to reflect the collective expectation. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market depth and trading volume indicate the level of confidence and agreement among participants regarding the likely outcome of the game.
This market resolves around Sep 5, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread for the second half of the Ball St. vs Ohio St. game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result reported by the governing body of college football. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will forfeit their investment. The final score will be the determining factor in the market’s settlement.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before the game concludes. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ball St. or Ohio St. teams would likely have a significant impact. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they favor one team's playing style, could also shift the market. Furthermore, any late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions might cause traders to reassess their predictions, leading to price fluctuations in this market. Public sentiment and betting trends could also play a role.