TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.7b
24H VOL:
$162,970,420
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,740,912,349
501,518
Markets across
37,286
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,933
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 10, 3:55 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Northwestern will win its college football game against Ball State. Currently, Kalshi gives Northwestern a 98.0% probability of winning, while Ball State is at 2.0%. The market resolves based on the outcome of the Ball St. vs Northwestern game, as reported by the official result including any adjustments for postponements or cancellations. Keep an eye on the game itself, scheduled for October 10, 2026, as the final score will determine the market’s resolution.
The market resolves to Yes if either Ball St. or Northwestern wins their college football game scheduled for October 10, 2026. If the game is postponed but begins within 48 hours of the originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the game is cancelled or not started within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start, the market will resolve to a fair price. Kalshi disclaims any affiliation with the NCAA, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a 'wisdom of the crowd' perspective, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action, while this market's pricing is purely driven by traders expressing their beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information sources or analytical approaches. It’s common to see prediction markets move independently of sportsbook lines, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts regarding the Ball St. vs Northwestern game.
This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Ball St. vs Northwestern game, as determined by official sources. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine the winning outcome and settle the market accordingly. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the final market prices at resolution. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market's outcome.
Several signals could significantly impact this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ball St. or Northwestern teams would likely cause price fluctuations. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if severe weather is expected during the game, could also influence trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team dynamics might also move the market. Furthermore, significant shifts in public sentiment, as reflected in media coverage or social media discussions, could affect trader behavior and alter the probabilities assigned to different outcomes.