TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 7:24 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets tracks the total points scored by both teams in an upcoming college football game. Each market corresponds to a different threshold of points, allowing participants to speculate on whether the combined score will exceed various benchmarks.
All markets resolve based on whether the combined score of Ball St. and Liberty in their college football game scheduled for Sep 19, 2026 exceeds specified thresholds, ranging from over 37.5 points to over 79.5 points. If the game is postponed but starts within 48 hours of the original time, all markets remain open and resolve according to the final official result. If the game does not start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants regardless of the specific point threshold they have bet on.
Generally, prediction markets like Kalshi often reflect information beyond what’s captured in traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will diverge. It’s common to see this market move differently than sportsbooks, especially as new information becomes available or public opinion shifts leading up to the game.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different point totals for the Ball St. vs Liberty game. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific point total occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, leading to prices that can be more informative than traditional odds. The current price movement indicates what the collective market believes is the most likely final score.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point total, as officially recorded by game statistics, will determine the winning contracts. The resolution will be based on the total points scored by both teams combined, and will be verified against credible public sources. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct point total will receive a payout.
Several factors could influence the price of this market. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ball St. or Liberty teams would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest conditions favoring a high- or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Finally, late-breaking news about team strategies or coaching decisions could shift market sentiment and alter the price of contracts representing different point totals.