TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Ball St. vs Liberty: Spread
kalshi

What is the result of Ball St. vs Liberty?

Volume:
$514,929

Liberty wins by over 13.5 points

 - Kalshi

Liberty wins by over 13.5 points - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 19, 2026

Closed: Sep 19, 7:24 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 13.5 points

View
100%
46%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$133,821
N/A
N/A
$113,318
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 14.5 points

100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$115,094
N/A
N/A
$108,646
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 16.5 points

100%
53%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$51,603
N/A
N/A
$49,130
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 23.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,118
N/A
N/A
$21,266
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 20.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$22,624
N/A
N/A
$18,638
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 27.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$20,983
N/A
N/A
$18,237
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 24.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$16,135
N/A
N/A
$14,137
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 21.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,011
N/A
N/A
$11,655
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 17.5 points

100%
62%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,608
N/A
N/A
$10,532
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 11.5 points

100%
42%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,103
N/A
N/A
$9,948
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 7.5 points

100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,726
N/A
N/A
$11,333
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 33.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,502
N/A
N/A
$7,567
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 9.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,251
N/A
N/A
$5,919
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 30.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,241
N/A
N/A
$3,448
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 10.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,490
N/A
N/A
$3,990
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 4.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,443
N/A
N/A
$4,158
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 6.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,088
N/A
N/A
$3,714
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 2.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,305
N/A
N/A
$2,181
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 1.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,191
N/A
N/A
$2,110
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 3.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,700
N/A
N/A
$1,575
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Liberty wins by over 5.5 points

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,624
N/A
N/A
$1,503
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Ball St. wins by over 9.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,653
N/A
N/A
$3,456
Settled
No
kalshi

Ball St. wins by over 1.5 points

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,261
N/A
N/A
$2,380
Settled
No
kalshi

Ball St. wins by over 7.5 points

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,176
N/A
N/A
$2,890
Settled
No
kalshi

Ball St. wins by over 10.5 points

0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,004
N/A
N/A
$2,772
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 34

Description

This set of markets tracks the point differential in a college football game between Ball St. and Liberty, allowing participants to bet on various margins of victory for either team. Each market corresponds to a specific point spread threshold, determining whether the winning team exceeds that margin.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the official final point differential from the Ball St. vs Liberty college football game scheduled for September 19, 2026. For Liberty win markets, resolution occurs if Liberty’s victory exceeds the specified point threshold (e.g., over 30.5, 27.5, down to 1.5 points). For Ball St. win markets, resolution occurs if Ball St.’s victory exceeds its listed threshold (e.g., over 1.5, 2.5, up to 13.5 points). If the game is postponed but commences within 48 hours of the original kickoff time, all markets remain active and resolve per the final result. If the game fails to start within 48 hours of its scheduled time, all markets resolve to a fair price, ensuring equitable treatment for all participants.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Ball St. vs Liberty spread tracks the current price of the contract, representing the market’s expectation of the point differential in the game. You can view a historical record of price movements, giving insight into how traders’ beliefs have changed over time. The dashboard also displays the 24-hour trading volume of $495,978, indicating the level of recent activity. Currently, total volume for this market is $514,929, showing overall interest. This information helps you understand market sentiment and potential trading opportunities.

Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders who are incentivized to be accurate. As a result, you may find discrepancies between the two. Generally, prediction markets tend to be more accurate than traditional polls or expert forecasts, though sportsbooks have the advantage of established brand recognition and wider accessibility. Comparing the two can provide a more comprehensive view of potential outcomes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the Ball St. vs Liberty spread. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that specific spread occurring. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the price adjusts dynamically. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market’s price is determined solely by supply and demand among traders on Kalshi, and isn’t influenced by external factors or pre-defined probabilities.

This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final spread will be determined by the official result of the Ball St. vs Liberty game, as reported by a recognized sports data provider. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event closely as the resolution date approaches to understand how the market is interpreting any late-breaking news or developments.

Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any significant news regarding player injuries, changes in coaching strategies, or unexpected team performance could shift trader sentiment. Weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to heavily impact the game, are also likely to play a role. Public perception and media coverage can also contribute to price movements, as they influence the overall flow of information and trader confidence. Monitoring these signals will be crucial for understanding potential shifts in the market.