TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 4:22 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points specifically in the fourth quarter of an upcoming football game between the Baltimore Ravens and the Indianapolis Colts. The outcome depends solely on the scoring dynamics during the final quarter of play, excluding any overtime periods.
If Indianapolis wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the BAL Ravens vs IND Colts Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If Baltimore wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the BAL Ravens vs IND Colts Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If neither team wins the 4th Quarter (excluding overtime) of the BAL Ravens vs IND Colts Pro Football game originally scheduled for Sep 13, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at sportsbooks. Sportsbooks incorporate a 'vig' or commission into their odds, ensuring a profit margin, while Kalshi allows traders to directly assess the probability of an outcome. If a significant discrepancy exists between this market and sportsbook lines, it could indicate differing opinions on the likelihood of either the Ravens or the Colts winning the fourth quarter. However, both represent attempts to forecast the same event, and both are subject to changing information and public perception.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing each outcome. The price of a contract reflects the market’s collective belief about the probability of that outcome occurring. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, its price increases, indicating growing confidence in their victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts as new information becomes available, and traders react to news and analysis regarding the Ravens and the Colts. The current price represents the cost to take a position on a specific team winning the fourth quarter.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the winner of the fourth quarter of the Ravens versus Colts game will determine the winning contract. The official game results, as reported by a trusted sports data source, will be used to verify the outcome. Traders who held contracts for the winning team will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution, while those holding contracts for the losing team will forfeit their investment.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Colts would likely cause price movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected news about coaching strategies or team morale might also shift market sentiment. Finally, as the game approaches, any late-breaking analysis from sports analysts or prominent commentators could influence traders and move the price of contracts in this market.