TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on determining which team will score the most points in the third quarter of an upcoming professional football game. It captures the competitive performance of each team during a specific segment of the match, highlighting short-term scoring ability rather than overall game outcome.
The market resolves based on which team scores the most points specifically during the third quarter of the designated BAL Ravens vs IND Colts professional football game. If Indianapolis scores more third-quarter points than Baltimore, the 'Indianapolis wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Conversely, if Baltimore scores more third-quarter points, the 'Baltimore wins 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. Should both teams finish the quarter with identical scores, neither team market wins, and instead the 'Tie 3rd Quarter' market resolves to Yes. All outcomes consider only points scored during the third quarter itself, with no regard to the full game's final result or any other quarter's scoring.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines to balance action, while this market allows traders to freely adjust probabilities based on their own analysis and information. If a significant amount of money flows towards one team, the odds will shift accordingly, potentially providing a different outlook than what’s offered at sportsbooks. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public perception changes leading up to the game. Examining both can offer a more comprehensive view of expected outcomes.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about which team will win the third quarter. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more traders buy contracts for a particular team, the price increases, indicating a higher perceived chance of victory. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts to new information and changing sentiment, offering a real-time assessment of the likely winner of the third quarter between the Ravens and the Colts.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the official result of which team won the third quarter of the Ravens-Colts game will determine the winning contract. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics and scoring as reported by recognized sports data providers. Traders holding contracts for the winning team will receive a payout, while those holding contracts for the losing team will not. The platform ensures a transparent and verifiable resolution process.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Ravens or the Colts would likely cause a shift in the odds. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they favor one team’s playing style, could also impact trading activity. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or team morale could also play a role. Finally, as kickoff approaches and more information becomes available, increased trading volume and sharper analysis will likely lead to further price adjustments in this market.