TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 3:52 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting the margin of victory for the Baltimore Ravens versus the Indianapolis Colts specifically during the third quarter of their upcoming game. Each market corresponds to different point differentials that could occur in that quarter, allowing participants to assess the potential dominance of either team within a confined timeframe.
The markets resolve based on the point differential between the Baltimore Ravens and the Indianapolis Colts exclusively during the third quarter of their game scheduled for September 13, 2026. Each market specifies a different threshold for the Ravens or Colts to exceed in points scored over their opponent in that quarter. If the winning team surpasses the stated margin—whether by just over 1.5 points up to more than 10.5 points—the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes.' Only points scored during the third quarter count, meaning any points from other quarters are irrelevant to these outcomes. All markets operate independently, allowing for multiple resolutions depending on the exact point differential achieved in the third quarter.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own analysis and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market aggregates the beliefs of many individual traders. If a significant number of traders believe a sportsbook line is inaccurate, they can drive the price on Kalshi in a different direction. It’s common to see discrepancies, particularly before a lot of money has been wagered, as the market seeks to establish a consensus view on the Ravens-Colts 3rd quarter spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different point spreads for the 3rd quarter. The price of each contract reflects the market’s assessment of the probability of that spread occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust dynamically, providing a real-time estimate of the expected outcome. The current price indicates what traders are willing to pay or receive for a contract that pays out if the actual spread falls within the specified range.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final point spread for the 3rd quarter of the Ravens-Colts game will be used to determine which contracts payout. The resolution will be based on the official game statistics as reported by a trusted sports data provider. Traders holding contracts on the correct spread will receive a payout, while those holding contracts on incorrect spreads will not. The exact payout amount is determined by the contract price at the time of resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before it resolves. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the Ravens or the Colts would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather conditions, particularly if they are expected to affect the passing or running game, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, any shifts in public sentiment or expert analysis regarding the teams' strengths and weaknesses could drive price fluctuations. Late-breaking news or unexpected developments leading up to kickoff could all contribute to changes in the Ravens-Colts 3rd quarter spread.